Showing posts with label ceasefire. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ceasefire. Show all posts

Monday, March 9, 2015

Things Russia can still do during a 'cease-fire'

For Russia a cease-fire is only just another phase in their hybrid war. People may have the false impression that everything is quiet now and maybe peace will settle down. This is an illusion. Russia has not fulfilled its bigger plans with Ukraine yet.
These are the things Russia can still do during a 'cease-fire'

1. Attack on all fronts without the risk if a (big) counter attack!

2. Fool OSCE (and the West) 


3. Withdraw your troops (which means ROTATE them)
Russia can not keep the same troops fighting all the time. It must rotate troops and get fresh ones on the battlefield. What better time to do this then during a 'cease-fire' without any risks?



4. Regroup
Russian hybrid army has had SEVERE losses in manpower as well as vehicles during the battle of Debaltseve and Donetsk Airport. They need to regroup and reorganise these forces. And they need to evaluate their performance and make plans for their next move.


5. Train (new batches of) fighters.

What better opportunity than to train the new waves of  fighters that will flood Ukraine?

6. Detonate bombs on specific targets in the next cities on the most-wanted list.


7. Repair damaged and captured tanks


8. Consolidate your position in other annexed territories

9. Steal anything of value in the occupied territory


10. Kill a political opponent that was about to reveal how Russian troops are involved in East-Ukraine

11. Solve internal problems with the criminals that you gave weapons and now try to settle issues amongst each other with those.

12. Try to prevent the West from arming Ukraine
Minsk II came WHILE the US was about to decide to arm Ukraine. Since there is something like decrease in hostilities, the West is tempted to postpone that decision.
As soon as the decision is made NOT to arm Ukraine, hostilities can intensify again.


For Russia, while waging a hybrid war, a cease-fire is not just the end of hostilities with the possibility on lasting peace. It is just another phase in the war with its own opportunities and possibilities.
All the things mentioned above are clear indications the war is NOT OVER YET.

Meanwhile the whole conflict destabilizes Ukraine, with prices going through the roof and the risk of a financial default, which is almost as good as a surrender right away.

The West must use this period to use all non-military means to isolate Russia until it withdraws from East-Ukraine AND Crimea:
I only wished these were more than just words and empty threats, because that's what they unfortunately are.

Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Lots of (Terro)Russian 'ceasefire' GRAD attacks

Ceasefire? The Ukrainians have to cease and the Terrorussians fire...

There are lots Terrorussian ceasefire-GRAD-attacks. Here are some of them:

In Dokuchaievsk:



This video is from the same event:



The location is like this:


Yellow arrow = direction of driving of the GRADs.
From these videos it may be VERY clear that the Terrorussians are firing from very close to residential areas, which is warcrime.

Video from unknown location:



This one is reported to be in Makeevka:


The location of that video is like this:


This next video is likely from the same incident, because it is shot from the same location, but filmed from another position:



This screenshot shows the line of sight along the footpath (yellow) and the direction of fire (red)


In Google Earth it shows like this:


Blue is the field of view from the camera. The Grad must be somewhere along the yellow line that walks slightly right of the footpath. The GRAD is behind some bushes. Red is the approximate direction of fire.

On a larger scale with a range of 20 kms it looks like this:


The Russian MilitaryMaps shows that there are Ukrainian units at that location:


So likely these are targeted.

Here are some nightly GRAD attacks:



Reported to be in Makeevka, but unable to geolocate yet:



Unknown location:



A composition of screenshots:


This shows there must be three launchers. From the first only smoke can be seen. The second and the third are firing into different directions. The third launches about 38 rockets, so it must be a GRAD too. The second launches in a very slow pace.



Conclusion:
The Russian are using the ceasefire to comfortably choose their targets without too much risk of getting attacked. They never ceased the fire.


If you maybe know where some of these videos where located: let me know!!!!!

Monday, September 8, 2014

GRAPHIC: Ambush on AIDAR during 'ceasefire' 11 KIA

'Aidar' is one of the volunteer battalions that fights North of Lugansk.

The photos that were appearing of this incident are all very disturbing:


This one shows mentally disturbed 'dogeater' Alexey Milchakov with his thumb up near a just killed and burned Aidar soldier.

Lifenews shows actual GRAPHIC combat footage of the ambush!


In this video it is the first time Alexey can be seen talking:






Note the gesture...




This photo shows a dead soldier with a headshot and his guts coming out:


Alexey has no problem to turn him around and photograph all the gory details:


Link to original VERY GRAPHIC photos. And in case they remove it: a web archive page.



Also see earlier post on Alexey Milchakov: this is how sick it can get in LPR.
Also see: an earlier deadly ambush on Aidar.
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